Monday, April 21, 2014

Tough Action Not Trash Talk


Nothing wrong with Vice President Joe Biden’s travel to Ukraine to symbolically show solidarity, but one wonders what he’ll actually accomplish given the problems of the United States putting forward a solid peace through strength message.

Vladimir Putin’s government is already violating the Geneva agreement and blaming the Ukrainians with the more recent violence that erupted – establishing an apparent pretext for further violation.

Putin may be crazy or may be crazy like a fox, either way, after snatching Crimea he seems in the mood to test the West just to see how far he can go. A professed Soviet throwback, I’m starting to wonder if he will be cowed by expanding to NATO allies in Eastern Europe, thinking:  What’s the West going to do? More appropriately, what’s the United States going to do?

President Obama’s spokesman Jay Carney assured America last week, “We’re not in a Cold War because I think it’s important to remember what the dynamics of the Cold War were. You had two super powers, you had two economic blocs, you had two military blocs. There aren’t two of any of those things today. Russia is not the Soviet Union; there is no Warsaw Pact."
 
As a native of Poland, I’ll assert that there will not be another Warsaw Pact, thank you very much. But that doesn’t mean Russia won’t establish other alliances in Putin’s zeal to be a world power again. So other countries should realize why it's not advantageous to align themselves with Russia.

President Obama’s remark that Russia is a “regional power” was more trash talk than tough talk. It might have hit Putin’s ego, but has done little to give him pause. Weak sanctions and vague talk of “additional costs” is not causing anyone to quiver.

There should be real sanctions – including on Putin’s assets. Not only to be clear that Putin cannot continue this behavior but also to discourage other heads of state from throwing in with him.

Western Europe has more to lose from these sanctions on an economic basis. But they would be willing to look at the long game of quietening Putin and other potential thugs if the U.S. leads the way.

But that leadership can’t come in the form of meaningless sanctions and trash talk.

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